Explanatory Notes

Climate Change (Emissions Reduction Targets) (Scotland) Act 2019

2019 asp 15

31 October 2019

Commentary on Sections

Part 1 - Emissions Reduction Targets

The net-zero emissions target

Section 1 – Net-zero emissions target

10.Section 1 inserts a new section A1 (net-zero emissions target) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of new section A1.

11.Subsection (1) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to ensure that the net Scottish emissions account for the net-zero emission target year is at least 100% lower than the baseline(1). This target is known as the “net-zero emissions target”.

12.Subsection (2) specifies 2045 as the year in which the net-zero emissions target is to be met. The year is known as the “net-zero emissions target year”.

13.Subsection (3) confers a power on the Scottish Ministers to, by regulations, modify the net-zero emissions target year. If the Scottish Ministers propose to modify the net-zero emissions target year to a year later than 2045, they may only do so if the advice is consistent with the most-up-to-date advice they have received from the relevant body(2) and that advice is based on either scientific knowledge about climate change or current international carbon reporting practice (or both).

14.Subsection (4) requires the Scottish Ministers, if proposing to modify the net-zero emissions target year, to have regard to the target-setting criteria in section 2B of the 2009 Act (inserted by section 5 of the Act) and the most up-to-date advice received from the relevant body.

15.Subsection (5) requires the Scottish Ministers to publish a statement as soon as reasonably practicable after laying, for approval under the affirmative procedure, a draft of regulations under subsection (3). This must set out their reasons for proposing to modify the net-zero emissions target year, the extent to which the proposed year takes account of the “target-setting criteria”, and whether the proposed year is consistent with the most up-to-date advice they have received from the relevant body and, if it is not, the reasons why.

The 2050 and interim targets

Section 2 – The 2050 target

16.Section 2 repeals section 1 (the 2050 target) of the 2009 Act. Section 1 of the 2009 Act previously imposed a duty on the Scottish Ministers to ensure that the net Scottish emissions account for the year 2050 is at least 80% lower than the baseline. Such a target has now been superseded by section A1 (inserted by section 1 of the Act), which sets 2045 as the net-zero emissions target year.

Section 3 – The interim targets

17.Section 3 substitutes section 2 (the interim targets) of the 2009 Act with a new section 2. The previous section 2 imposed a duty on the Scottish Ministers to ensure that the net Scottish emissions account for the year 2020 is at least 42% lower than the baseline. The new section 2 imposes a duty on them to ensure that the net Scottish emissions accounts for the years 2020, 2030, and 2040 are, respectively, at least 56%, 75% and 90% lower than the baseline.

Section 4 – Modification of the interim targets

18.Section 4 inserts a new section 2A (modification of the interim targets) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of new section 2A.

19.Subsection (1) confers a power on the Scottish Ministers to, by regulations, modify any percentage figure applying for the purposes of any of the interim targets. The regulations are subject to the affirmative procedure.

20.Subsection (2) provides that the regulations may not substitute a lower percentage figure if that would be inconsistent with advice from the relevant body; not based on either scientific knowledge about climate change or current international carbon reporting practice (or both); lower than a figure applying for an earlier interim target; or lower than 100% for a year which is the same as, or later than, the net-zero emissions target year.

21.Subsection (3) provides that, in preparing a draft of regulations to be made under subsection (1), the Scottish Ministers must have regard to the target-setting criteria and the most up-to-date advice they have received from the relevant body.

22.Subsection (4) provides that the duty in subsection (5) applies in the event that both: (i) the Scottish Ministers lay a draft of regulations under section A1(3) which propose to modify the net-zero emissions target year to a year earlier than 2045, and (ii) one or more percentage figures applying for the purposes of any interim target for a year which is the same as or later than the proposed net-zero emissions target year, is lower than 100%. In this event, subsection (5) provides that the Scottish Ministers must, simultaneously or as soon as reasonably practicable afterwards, lay before the Scottish Parliament a draft of regulations under subsection (1) which modify to 100% each such lower percentage figure.

23.Subsection (6) requires the Scottish Ministers to publish a statement, as soon as reasonably practicable after laying draft regulations under subsection (1), setting out for each proposed modification of a percentage figure by the regulations: their reasons for proposing it, the extent to which it takes account of the target-setting criteria, and whether it is consistent with the most up-to-date advice they have received from the relevant body.

The target-setting criteria

Section 5 – The target-setting criteria

24.Section 5 inserts a new section 2B (the target-setting criteria) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of new section 2B.

25.Subsection (1) provides that, in the 2009 Act, the “target-setting criteria” are the matters mentioned in paragraphs (a) to (m) of that subsection. These matters match those previously mentioned in section 4(4) (setting annual targets) of the 2009 Act, except that: “European and international law and policy relating to climate change” (now listed second) has been supplemented to make it clear that this matter includes the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and protocols to that Convention; and “current international carbon reporting practice”, “the likely impact of the target on the achievement of sustainable development, including the achievement of the United Nations sustainable development goals” and “the likely impact of the target on public health” have been added as additional criteria.

26.Subsection (2) explains what is meant by the expression “fair and safe Scottish emissions budget” in subsection (1)(a) and elsewhere in the 2009 Act.

27.Subsection (3) confers a power on the Scottish Ministers to, by regulations, amend the target-setting criterion. The regulations are subject to the affirmative procedure.

Advice about targets

Section 6 – Duty to seek advice from the relevant body

28.Section 6 inserts new section 2C (duty to seek advice from the relevant body) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of new section 2C.

29.Subsection (1), read with subsection (2), imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to request advice from the relevant body at least once before the expiry of each relevant five year period. The first request must be made within five years of section 2C coming into force. Subsequent requests must be made within five years of each previous request under subsection (1).

30.Subsection (3), read with subsection (4), provides that each request under subsection (1) must request the relevant body’s view as to the matters mentioned in paragraphs (a) to (h) of subsection (3). In particular, each request must seek the relevant body’s views as to whether the net-zero emissions target is achievable and, if so, what is the earliest achievable year for that target (with views on these matters taking account of the target-setting criteria).

31.Each request must also seek the body’s views as to whether the percentage figure applying for the purposes of each interim target (not yet reported under section 33 of the 2009 Act) is appropriate by reference to the target-setting criteria, and if not, advice as to any alternative percentage figure that would be appropriate. The body’s views must also be requested on whether the fair and safe Scottish emissions budget, which forms part of the target-setting criteria, is appropriate and, if not, request the body makes a fresh recommendation for the purpose of the budget. The body’s views must also be sought on the estimated contribution of the net-zero emissions target and the interim targets towards global efforts to limit the global average temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.

32.Each request must also seek the body’s views on certain matters relating to meeting emissions reduction targets for the next 15 years. These matters consider the balance between action to reduce net Scottish emissions and the use of carbon credits purchased by Scottish Ministers, and the respective contribution that different sectors of the Scottish economy should make to reductions in net Scottish emissions of greenhouse gases.

33.Each request must also seek the body’s views as to whether the multiplier to reflect the direct and indirect non-carbon dioxide climate change impacts of emissions at altitude from international aviation (which applies by virtue of section 16(3) of the 2009 Act) is appropriate and, if not, request advice as to any alternative multiplier that would be appropriate.

34.Subsection (5) provides that the Scottish Ministers may request the relevant body’s views as to any other matter which they consider relevant for the purposes of Part 1 of the 2009 Act.

Section 7 – Power to seek additional advice

35.Section 7 inserts a new section 2D (power to seek additional advice) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of new section 2D.

36.Subsection (1) confers a power on the Scottish Ministers to request advice from the relevant body at any time (and in addition to any request required to be made under section 2C of the 2009 Act) on any matter they consider relevant for the purposes of Part 1 of the 2009 Act.

37.By virtue of subsection (2), a request for advice under subsection (1) on all of the matters mentioned in section 2C(3) of the 2009 Act is treated as having been made under section 2C(1) of that Act. Accordingly, where this subsection applies, the request under subsection (1) would become the most recent request to have been made under section 2C(1) and (2) of the 2009 Act.

Section 8 – Ministerial duties following receipt of advice

38.Section 8 inserts a new section 2E (ministerial duties following request for advice) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of new section 2E.

39.Subsection (1) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to publish any advice received in response to a request under section 2C(1) or 2D(1) of the 2009 Act as soon as reasonably practicable after they receive it.

40.Subsection (2) provides that the duty in subsection (3) applies in the event that:

41.In this event, subsection (3) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to publish a statement within 3 months setting out how they intend to respond to that advice. It also requires that in the event that the Scottish Ministers do not, within 12 months of receiving that advice, lay draft regulations under section A1(3) of the 2009 Act to modify the net-zero emissions target year to the particular year referred to in subsection (2)(a), the Scottish Ministers must make a statement to the Scottish Parliament setting out the reasons for not doing so.

42.Subsection (4) provides that the duty in subsection (5) applies in the event that the relevant body’s advice states that a percentage figure for an interim target applying when the request is made is not appropriate and that another figure would be appropriate. In this event, subsection (5) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to publish a statement within 3 months setting out how they intend to respond to that advice. It also requires that in the event that Scottish Ministers do not, within 12 months of receiving that advice, lay draft regulations under section 2A(1) of the 2009 Act to make the advised modification to that percentage figure, they must make a statement to the Scottish Parliament setting out the reasons for not doing so.

43.Subsection (6) provides that the duty in subsection (7) applies in the event that:

44.In this event, subsection (7) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to publish a statement setting out the reasons for not laying for approval a draft order under section 16(1) of the 2009 Act making the advised modification to that multiplier figure.

Citizen’s Assembly

Section 9 – Citizens Assembly

45.Section 9 inserts a new Part 2A and section 32A (citizens assembly) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of new section 32A.

46.Subsection (1) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to establish a panel to be known as a “citizens assembly” to exercise the functions in subsection (5).

47.Subsection (2) requires that the citizens assembly is made up of such persons as the Scottish Ministers consider to be representative of the general populace of Scotland.

48.Subsection (3), read with subsection (4), requires the citizens assembly to have two conveners who are independent of the Scottish Ministers and the Scottish Parliament, and that there is a gender balance between the conveners.

49.Subsection (5), read with subsection (6), sets out the functions to be exercised by the citizens assembly. These are to consider how to prevent or minimise, or remedy or mitigate the effects of, climate change; make recommendations on measures proposed to achieve the emissions reduction targets; and make recommendations about such other matters as the Scottish Ministers may refer to the assembly. Scottish Ministers may refer matters to the assembly only if they have been approved by resolution of the Scottish Parliament.

50.Subsection (7) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to lay a report before the Scottish Parliament on the arrangements for the administration and operation of the assembly before the first meeting of the assembly.

51.Subsection (8), read with subsections (9) and (10), requires the assembly to complete its consideration of the matters mentioned in subsection (5)(a) by 28 February 2021 and to lay a report with its recommendations before the Scottish Parliament by that date. The assembly must send a copy of the report to the Scottish Ministers who, within 6 months of receipt, must publish a statement setting out how they intend to respond to the recommendations.

Annual targets

Section 10 – Annual targets: 2021 to 2049

52.Section 10 substitutes section 3 (annual targets) of the 2009 Act with the following:

53.New section 3(1) imposes a duty on the Scottish Ministers to ensure that the net Scottish emissions account is at least the “relevant target figure” lower than the baseline for each year in:

54.Subsections (2) to (5) of this new section make provision about the rules for calculating the relevant percentage figure applying for the purposes of each annual target. These subsections require, in effect, that for each period a straight line is drawn between the percentage figures applying for the purposes of the target year which precedes the period and the target year which follows it. The figures for each target year in the intervening period must then correlate with that line.

55.For example, if the percentage figure applying for the purposes of the 2020 target remains at 56%, and the corresponding figure for the 2030 target at 75%, the difference is 19%. This 19% difference must be apportioned so that there is an equal percentage point change between the percentage figure for each consecutive year in the period beginning with 2020 and ending with 2030. There are 10 pairs of consecutive years in this period, namely: 2020 and 2021, 2021 and 2022, and so on. To apportion the 19% difference so that there is an equal percentage point change, this 19% difference must first be divided by 10 (the number of consecutive pairs in the period). The percentage point change between each consecutive pair must therefore be 1.9%. This change is applied so that the percentage figure for 2021 is 1.9% higher than the figure for 2020, and the figure for 2022 is 1.9% higher than the figure for 2021, and so on. Accordingly, in this example, the relevant percentage figures would be 57.9% for the annual target for 2021, 59.8% for the annual target for 2022, 61.7% for 2023, 63.6% for 2024, 65.5% for 2025, 67.4% for 2026, 69.3% for 2027, 71.2% for 2028 and 73.1% for 2029.

56.New section 3A(1) provides that this new section applies where regulations made under section A1(3) of the 2009 Act modify the net-zero emissions target year which is in either the period 2021-2029, or the period 2031-2039. In this event, subsections (2)(a) and (4) of this new section modify the relevant target figure which would otherwise apply by virtue of new section 3 for a year which is in the same period as, but before, the net-zero emissions target year. These subsections require, in effect, that, for the period containing the net-zero emissions target, a straight line is drawn between the percentage figure applying for the purposes of the interim target year which precedes this period and the 100% percentage figure applying for the purpose of the net-zero emissions target. Subsection (3) provides that subsection (4) applies for the purposes of calculating annual targets where regulations are made to modify the net-zero emissions target year to a year which is after 2041. Where such regulations are made, the annual targets are to be calculated by drawing a straight line between the percentage figure applying for the purposes of the interim target year which immediately precedes the net-zero emissions target year and the 100% percentage figure for the net-zero emissions target year. The method for calculating the relevant target figure for the years between the target year and the net-zero emission target is otherwise broadly equivalent to the approach set out in section 3.

57.Subsection (5) of new section 3A provides that any modification of an annual target under this section does not apply to a year which is the same as, or earlier than, the year in which the regulations under section A1(3) of the 2009 Act come into force.

58.New section 3B(1) provides that this new section applies where either:

59.Subsection (2) of new section 3B provides that an annual target in relation to a year which is subsequent to the year in which the regulations mentioned in section 3B(1) come into force (i.e. a prospective annual target) is to be recalculated under section 3 and, where applicable, modified under section 3A, in accordance with the figures applying immediately after those regulations come into force.

60.Subsection (3) of new section 3B provides that an annual target in relation to a year which is the same as, or earlier than, the year in which those regulations come into force, is not to be recalculated or modified except where subsection (4) applies. Subsection (4) applies where the Scottish Ministers publish a statement at the same time, or soon after the draft regulations are laid for approval under affirmative procedure. The statement must confirm that the regulations are in response to, and consistent with, the most up-to-date advice they have received from the relevant body advising that targets should be modified for the sole reason of a change in international carbon reporting practice. Where subsection (4) applies, subsection (5) then provides that an annual target in respect of a year for which the Scottish Ministers has not yet reported on under section 33, is also to be recalculated in accordance with subsection (2) of new subsection 3B for the purposes of assessing and reporting in accordance with section 33.

Section 11 – Annual targets: 2018 and 2019

61.Section 11(1) provides that, for the purposes of assessing and reporting in accordance with section 33 of the 2009 Act, the annual target for 2018 and 2019 are to be taken as a target of, respectively, at least 54.0% and 55.0% lower than the baseline.

62.Subsection (2) confers a power on the Scottish Ministers to, by regulations, modify one or more of the percentage figures applying for the purposes of a year mentioned in subsection (1). The regulations are subject to the affirmative procedure.

63.But subsection (3) provides that a draft of regulations to be laid under subsection (2) may only propose the modification of a percentage figure only if:

Section 12 – Revocation of previous annual targets

64.Section 12 revokes three Orders made under the 2009 Act that set annual targets for the years 2018 to 2032. Those targets are superseded by the new interim targets set by virtue of new section 2 of the 2009 Act (inserted by section 3 of the Act) and the new annual targets which apply by virtue of new sections 3, 3A and 3B of the 2009 Act (inserted by section 10 of the Act).

Publication of targets

Section 13 – Publication of targets

65.Section 13 inserts a new section 3C (publication of targets) into the 2009 Act. The following paragraphs refer to the subsections of this new section 3C.

66.Subsection (1) requires the Scottish Ministers to keep and maintain a list of the net-zero emissions target year and the percentage figures applying for each emissions reduction target. By virtue of subsection (2), the Scottish Ministers may remove from the list any entry in relation to a year in respect of which they have reported on under section 33 of the 2009 Act.

67.Subsection (3) requires the Scottish Ministers to lay a copy of the list before the Scottish Parliament. The first list must be laid as soon as is reasonably practicable after it has been compiled and, thereafter, as soon as reasonably practicable after the net-zero emissions target year or a percentage figure mentioned in subsection (1) has been modified.

68.Subsection (4) also requires the Scottish Ministers to publish the information contained in the list mentioned in subsection (1), with discretion given over the manner of publication.

1

The “baseline” is the aggregate amount of (a) net Scottish emissions of carbon dioxide for 1990, and (b) net Scottish emissions of each of the greenhouse gases other than carbon dioxide for the year that is the ‘baseline year’ for that gas. The baseline years for greenhouse gases other than carbon dioxide are: 1990 for methane and nitrous oxide, and 1995 for hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, sulphur hexafluoride and nitrogen trifluoride.

2

See definition in paragraph 3.